Hiring is slowing from last year, and the trend is predicted to continue at least through the rest of the first half of the year, says a new report from CareerBuilder.
The job board’s quarterly employment forecast says the U.S. should expect somewhat slower hiring through the end of June than it saw for the same period last year.
That comes on the heels of a first quarter that was slightly better than what CareerBuilder’s survey foresaw three months ago, but which was still down from 2012.
Of the more than 2,000 hiring managers and human resource professionals distributed across industries and company sizes polled for the report, 26 percent said they expect an increase in their full-time, permanent headcount this quarter. Last year, CareerBuilder forecast a 30 percent second-quarter increase, and later, found 34 percent actually did add staff.
“Concerns … are weighing on employers’ minds”
The first quarter survey said 26 percent of respondents expected to add staff; 28 percent actually did. Still, that was down from 2012 when 33 percent of the firms in the poll added jobs.
On Friday (April 5), the U.S. Department of Labor will release its jobs report for March. Expectations are that it will show about 200,000 new jobs created during the month. But an ADP jobs report yesterday raised doubts about those initial predictions when it came in at 158,000 new, private sector jobs created during the month. That was far below what economists were expecting.
Like other predictions about job growth, the CareerBuilder poll found employers more cautious now than they were last year.
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“The U.S. job market is in a better place today, but concerns over spending cuts, wavering global economies, and other factors are weighing on employers’ minds,” said Matt Ferguson, CEO of CareerBuilder. “We expect continued stability and improvement as the year goes on.”
Hiring by company size
The decrease in hiring expectations cuts across all company sizes. Here’s how the full-time, permanent hiring in the second quarter breaks down, according to the survey:
- 50 or fewer employees — 17 percent to add, down from 20 percent last year; those reducing head count increased to 6 percent in 2013 from 5 percent last year.
- 250 or fewer employees — 21 percent will add, down from 22 percent last year; those reducing head count increased to 7 percent in 2013 from 5 percent last year.
- 500 or fewer employees — 22 percent will add, down from 25 percent last year; those reducing head count increased to 8 percent in 2013 from 5 percent last year.
- More than 500 employees – 33 percent will add, down from 38 percent last year; those reducing head count increased to 10 percent in 2013 from percent last year.
However, the picture hasn’t significantly changed when it comes to the use of temporary workers. Last year, 34 percent of employers said they would be hiring contractors or temps in the second quarter.
Now, 32 percent said they planned to do that. And 24 percent are planning to transition some contract or temporary staff into permanent employees in the second quarter, the same as last year.